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Quarterfinal 2-22018 San Francisco Regional
Red320
199136.9
5499146.3
6036134.8
Blue254
5940135.1
2489127.3
5700128.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345285150200250400450500320254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#5
146.30.9
143.9→144.8
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
red by 11.2
5940
#18
135.10.4
134.7→135.1
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
Second
199
#12
136.90.5
135.5→136.1
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
red by 8.8
5700
#20
128.10.4
127.7→128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
Third
6036
#17
134.80.6
133.2→133.8
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
red by 7.5
2489
#7
127.30.3
127.1→127.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4