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Qual 112018 San Francisco Regional
Red245
6718114.0
5026145.6
199136.9
Blue199
6814102.9
6036134.8
5499146.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283279200220240260300320340360245199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#3
145.69.8
96.4→106.2
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
blue by 0.7
5499
#5
146.38.8
103.1→111.9
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
Second
199
#12
136.913.1
94.9→108.0
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
red by 2.1
6036
#17
134.811.6
93.7→105.4
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
Third
6718
#16
114.013.6
70.3→83.9
Auto16.1
Teleop86.5
End10.7
red by 11.1
6814
#35
102.910.4
77.7→88.1
Auto14.3
Teleop76.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed