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Qual 122018 San Francisco Regional
Red334
100132.4
973187.8
5700128.1
Blue10
5419118.8
766108.5
581122.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333246010020030040050060033410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
187.87.6
134.2→141.7
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
red by 65.6
581
#29
122.111.0
94.7→105.8
Auto15.2
Teleop94.1
End12.9
Second
100
#28
132.49.2
97.8→107.0
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
red by 13.7
5419
#15
118.89.6
84.8→94.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
Third
5700
#20
128.110.4
88.9→99.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
red by 19.6
766
#41
108.58.7
90.3→99.0
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed