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Red272
4669111.4
4159131.2
6981106.3
Blue236
4904138.3
6662114.4
7317112.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269262150200300350400272236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.28.6
95.8104.4
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
blue by 7.2
4904
#19
138.39.9
94.9104.8
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End13.4
Second
4669
#43
111.47.8
92.099.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End9.4
blue by 3.1
6662
#32
114.48.1
98.5106.6
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
Third
6981
#38
106.312.0
77.789.8
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
blue by 6.3
7317
#33
112.59.4
77.787.1
Auto15.2
Teleop91.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed