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Qual 182018 San Francisco Regional
Red197
6665113.8
2854117.6
2489127.3
Blue414
5499146.3
2383163.6
4904138.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223320100300400500600700197414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#7
127.38.8
97.9→106.7
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
blue by 36.3
2383
#11
163.60.3
154.4→154.7
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
Second
2854
#34
117.66.3
97.0→103.3
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
blue by 28.7
5499
#5
146.35.5
111.9→117.4
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
Third
6665
#39
113.83.6
102.7→106.2
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
blue by 24.5
4904
#19
138.35.4
104.8→110.2
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed