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Red188
5419118.8
5940135.1
2551138.5
Blue415
649155.4
973187.8
6718114.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123420100300400500600188415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#22
138.511.4
100.1111.5
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
blue by 49.3
973
#1
187.86.1
141.7147.8
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
Second
5940
#18
135.13.4
102.8106.3
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
blue by 20.3
649
#6
155.45.5
118.3123.8
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Third
5419
#15
118.82.3
94.496.7
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
red by 4.7
6718
#16
114.09.4
83.993.4
Auto16.1
Teleop86.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned