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Qual 202018 San Francisco Regional
Red306
6662114.4
4159131.2
7137114.2
Blue156
100132.4
5924120.0
5430101.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263253100150200300350400450306156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#9
131.25.4
104.4→109.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
blue by 1.3
100
#28
132.47.1
107.0→114.0
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
Second
6662
#32
114.44.2
106.6→110.7
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
blue by 5.6
5924
#27
120.04.5
106.4→110.9
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End10.2
Third
7137
#31
114.25.4
90.2→95.6
Auto13.6
Teleop88.1
End14.9
red by 13.0
5430
#40
101.24.8
88.8→93.6
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed