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Red323
5104139.2
6415143.1
6418146.0
Blue235
199136.9
5700128.1
5993132.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287285240260280300320323235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.04.4
116.6121.0
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
red by 9.2
199
#12
136.99.1
108.0117.1
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
Second
6415
#23
143.10.1
135.3135.5
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
red by 10.5
5993
#24
132.511.8
94.5106.4
Auto16.9
Teleop97.3
End19.3
Third
5104
#14
139.24.3
109.0113.3
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End16.0
red by 11.1
5700
#20
128.17.9
99.3107.2
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed