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Qual 222018 San Francisco Regional
Red242
253100.3
972119.6
5499146.3
Blue193
2551138.5
766108.5
6981106.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27526202004006008001,000242193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#5
146.35.7
117.4→123.1
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
red by 7.8
2551
#22
138.57.5
111.5→118.9
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
Second
972
#30
119.66.8
97.3→104.0
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
red by 11.1
766
#41
108.50.6
100.7→101.3
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
Third
253
#36
100.33.0
89.7→92.7
Auto12.3
Teleop80.0
End9.0
blue by 6.0
6981
#38
106.37.8
89.8→97.5
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed