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Red317
5419118.8
6962116.8
3880131.1
Blue316
1458122.9
4186124.4
4159131.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143120100400500600317316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#10
131.16.0
111.3117.4
Auto16.7
Teleop100.1
End18.1
blue by 0.1
131.25.1
109.8114.9
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
Second
5419
#15
118.81.5
96.798.2
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
blue by 5.6
4186
#37
124.43.5
110.9114.4
Auto15.1
Teleop95.4
End13.1
Third
6962
#26
116.84.4
95.6100.0
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End13.8
blue by 6.1
1458
#42
122.96.6
111.5118.1
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed