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Red351
199136.9
2551138.5
4186124.4
Blue175
766108.5
6662114.4
4973110.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282274150200250300350400450351175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#22
138.516.5
69.886.3
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
red by 24.1
6662
#32
114.415.0
83.598.5
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
Second
199
#12
136.915.5
79.594.9
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
red by 26.6
4973
#21
110.217.5
60.878.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.0
End12.0
Third
4186
#37
124.416.0
75.090.9
Auto15.1
Teleop95.4
End13.1
red by 15.9
766
#41
108.516.0
74.290.3
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed