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Qual 32018 San Francisco Regional
Red238
971179.0
5940135.1
5499146.3
Blue247
5430101.2
604159.9
4159131.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362590100200300400500600238247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
179.010.2
129.9→140.1
Auto24.1
Teleop126.7
End28.0
red by 19.1
604
#2
159.913.7
95.9→109.6
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
Second
5499
#5
146.314.4
88.7→103.1
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
red by 15.1
4159
#9
131.215.3
80.4→95.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
Third
5940
#18
135.115.7
77.6→93.3
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
red by 33.9
5430
#40
101.217.5
61.3→78.8
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed