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Red243
6415143.1
6814102.9
1458122.9
Blue265
6981106.3
6418146.0
2854117.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912650100200400500243265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#23
143.10.6
134.8135.4
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
blue by 3.0
146.014.0
93.1107.1
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Second
1458
#42
122.915.5
78.894.3
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.2
red by 5.3
2854
#34
117.616.6
69.185.7
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
Third
6814
#35
102.919.8
97.677.7
Auto14.3
Teleop76.5
End8.5
blue by 3.3
6981
#38
106.328.5
106.377.7
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed