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Red354
4765115.8
5993132.5
5507143.3
Blue201
5924120.0
5419118.8
6665113.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562930100200400500600700354201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#13
143.316.5
69.986.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
red by 23.3
5924
#27
120.015.1
82.797.8
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End10.2
Second
5993
#24
132.517.3
63.080.3
Auto16.9
Teleop97.3
End19.3
red by 13.8
5419
#15
118.816.7
68.184.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
Third
4765
#25
115.816.6
68.985.5
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.0
red by 2.0
6665
#39
113.815.6
78.293.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed