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Red306
2489127.3
7137114.2
100132.4
Blue265
972119.6
604159.9
2854117.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492860100200400500600306265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#28
132.42.4
114.0116.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
blue by 27.5
604
#2
159.96.1
124.3130.4
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
Second
127.35.4
106.7112.1
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
red by 7.7
972
#30
119.64.3
104.0108.3
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
Third
7137
#31
114.25.1
95.6100.7
Auto13.6
Teleop88.1
End14.9
blue by 3.4
2854
#34
117.63.8
103.3107.1
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed