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Qual 272018 San Francisco Regional
Red178
4669111.4
199136.9
6418146.0
Blue288
5507143.3
6665113.8
5026145.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314266100200400500178288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#8
146.04.5
121.0→125.5
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
red by 0.4
5026
#3
145.65.8
113.1→118.9
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
Second
199
#12
136.96.2
117.1→123.3
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
blue by 6.5
5507
#13
143.35.0
108.4→113.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
Third
4669
#43
111.44.0
104.8→108.7
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End9.4
blue by 2.5
6665
#39
113.81.9
106.2→108.1
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed