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Red406
2383163.6
5924120.0
766108.5
Blue206
6036134.8
6981106.3
3880131.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264270150200300350400406206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
163.61.1
154.7155.8
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
red by 28.8
6036
#17
134.85.6
112.7118.3
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
Second
5924
#27
120.00.6
110.9111.5
Auto16.3
Teleop94.7
End10.2
blue by 11.1
3880
#10
131.16.3
117.4123.7
Auto16.7
Teleop100.1
End18.1
Third
766
#41
108.51.1
101.3100.2
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
red by 2.2
6981
#38
106.33.6
97.5101.1
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed