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Red105
7137114.2
4669111.4
4765115.8
Blue387
5499146.3
4186124.4
6415143.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253230100200400500105387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#25
115.82.3
112.4114.7
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.0
blue by 30.5
146.33.6
123.1126.7
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
Second
7137
#31
114.25.0
100.7105.6
Auto13.6
Teleop88.1
End14.9
blue by 28.9
6415
#23
143.10.4
136.2136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
Third
4669
#43
111.40.4
108.7109.2
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End9.4
blue by 13.0
4186
#37
124.42.2
114.4116.6
Auto15.1
Teleop95.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed