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Qual 312018 San Francisco Regional
Red245
972119.6
581122.1
4159131.2
Blue323
973187.8
2489127.3
199136.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233630100300400500600245323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#9
131.23.2
114.9→118.1
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
blue by 56.6
973
#1
187.85.1
155.0→160.1
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
Second
581
#29
122.11.7
108.4→110.2
Auto15.2
Teleop94.1
End12.9
blue by 14.7
199
#12
136.91.9
123.3→125.2
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
Third
972
#30
119.63.4
108.3→111.7
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
blue by 7.7
2489
#7
127.35.1
112.1→117.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed