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Red214
5026145.6
6981106.3
100132.4
Blue263
5700128.1
6665113.8
4973110.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286238100150200350400450214263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.64.8
118.9123.7
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
red by 17.5
5700
#20
128.16.6
112.7119.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
Second
100
#28
132.43.1
116.4119.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
red by 18.6
6665
#39
113.82.1
108.1110.2
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
Third
6981
#38
106.31.5
101.1102.6
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
blue by 3.9
4973
#21
110.21.5
97.599.0
Auto14.4
Teleop86.0
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed