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Qual 372018 San Francisco Regional
Red254
199136.9
5419118.8
6981106.3
Blue359
3880131.1
5026145.6
5940135.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173290100300400500254359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#12
136.91.5
125.2→126.7
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
blue by 8.8
5026
#3
145.61.9
123.7→125.6
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
Second
5419
#15
118.84.7
101.4→106.1
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
blue by 16.3
5940
#18
135.13.9
112.9→116.9
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
Third
6981
#38
106.30.2
102.6→102.4
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
blue by 24.8
3880
#10
131.13.3
123.7→127.0
Auto16.7
Teleop100.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed