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Qual 382018 San Francisco Regional
Red266
1458122.9
6418146.0
6665113.8
Blue365
4159131.2
4765115.8
973187.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259328100200300400500266365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#8
146.03.6
126.3→129.8
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
blue by 41.8
973
#1
187.83.7
160.1→163.8
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
Second
1458
#42
122.91.3
122.3→123.7
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.2
blue by 8.3
4159
#9
131.23.1
118.1→121.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.8
End8.3
Third
6665
#39
113.81.1
110.2→111.3
Auto13.9
Teleop89.7
End11.9
blue by 2.0
4765
#25
115.80.3
114.7→114.4
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed