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Red378
4973110.2
4904138.3
5507143.3
Blue285
649155.4
5499146.3
6662114.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333500100200300400500378285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#13
143.34.8
117.5122.3
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
blue by 12.1
649
#6
155.48.3
138.4146.7
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Second
4904
#19
138.35.0
121.8126.8
Auto17.7
Teleop107.7
End13.4
blue by 8.0
146.34.7
126.7131.4
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
Third
4973
#21
110.20.7
99.099.7
Auto14.4
Teleop86.0
End12.0
blue by 4.2
6662
#32
114.43.4
116.3119.7
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed