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Qual 432018 San Francisco Regional
Red187
2854117.6
2383163.6
6718114.0
Blue275
5700128.1
971179.0
5430101.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301297200250350400187275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
163.60.9
157.5→158.3
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
blue by 15.5
971
#4
179.04.3
158.3→162.5
Auto24.1
Teleop126.7
End28.0
Second
2854
#34
117.63.0
110.1→113.1
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
blue by 10.5
5700
#20
128.14.2
119.3→123.5
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
Third
6718
#16
114.02.5
108.5→110.9
Auto16.1
Teleop86.5
End10.7
red by 12.8
5430
#40
101.21.5
94.8→96.2
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed