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Red344
6981106.3
5507143.3
971179.0
Blue379
4765115.8
2489127.3
2551138.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338267100200300400500344379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
179.03.4
162.5165.9
Auto24.1
Teleop126.7
End28.0
red by 40.5
2551
#22
138.53.4
126.1129.5
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0
Second
5507
#13
143.36.1
122.3128.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
red by 16.0
127.32.0
121.0123.0
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
Third
6981
#38
106.30.0
102.4102.4
Auto17.5
Teleop82.4
End10.7
blue by 9.5
4765
#25
115.81.2
114.4115.6
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed