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Red339
199136.9
766108.5
5940135.1
Blue217
5430101.2
1458122.9
6962116.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309257100150200350400450500339217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#12
136.91.1
126.7127.8
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
red by 14.0
1458
#42
122.92.0
123.7125.7
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.2
Second
5940
#18
135.14.9
116.9121.7
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
red by 18.3
6962
#26
116.83.4
107.4110.7
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End13.8
Third
766
#41
108.51.8
101.5103.3
Auto13.9
Teleop87.6
End5.4
red by 7.3
5430
#40
101.21.5
96.297.7
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed