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Red137
6662114.4
3880131.1
253100.3
Blue449
5026145.6
2854117.6
7317112.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303246100200400500137449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#10
131.14.3
127.0131.3
Auto16.7
Teleop100.1
End18.1
blue by 14.5
145.63.5
125.6129.1
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
Second
6662
#32
114.42.0
119.7121.7
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
blue by 3.1
2854
#34
117.61.1
113.1111.9
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
Third
253
#36
100.35.0
99.5104.5
Auto12.3
Teleop80.0
End9.0
blue by 12.3
7317
#33
112.53.1
95.898.9
Auto15.2
Teleop91.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed