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Red298
6036134.8
4973110.2
2854117.6
Blue290
4669111.4
5419118.8
972119.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321253100200400500298290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#17
134.81.3
127.4128.7
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
red by 15.2
972
#30
119.60.7
116.7117.5
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
Second
2854
#34
117.62.7
111.9114.7
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
blue by 1.2
5419
#15
118.83.5
109.4112.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.3
End15.0
Third
4973
#21
110.23.5
103.0106.5
Auto14.4
Teleop86.0
End12.0
blue by 1.2
4669
#43
111.41.5
107.5109.0
Auto14.9
Teleop83.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed