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Red467
5104139.2
6962116.8
5026145.6
Blue177
649155.4
4186124.4
2489127.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293340100200400500600467177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.62.9
134.8137.7
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
blue by 9.8
649
#6
155.43.9
152.0155.8
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Second
5104
#14
139.23.7
125.9129.7
Auto17.1
Teleop108.6
End16.0
red by 11.9
127.31.4
126.2127.6
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4
Third
6962
#26
116.81.5
112.6114.2
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End13.8
blue by 7.5
4186
#37
124.40.4
127.0127.4
Auto15.1
Teleop95.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed