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Red258
6415143.1
5993132.5
972119.6
Blue309
6662114.4
2383163.6
5430101.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322266100200300400500258309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#23
143.11.6
140.6142.2
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
blue by 20.5
2383
#11
163.60.8
158.1158.9
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
Second
5993
#24
132.51.8
130.2132.0
Auto16.9
Teleop97.3
End19.3
red by 18.1
6662
#32
114.44.3
120.0115.8
Auto16.9
Teleop85.9
End11.1
Third
972
#30
119.61.2
117.5118.7
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
red by 18.4
5430
#40
101.20.8
98.499.2
Auto12.9
Teleop83.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed