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Red392
973187.8
5940135.1
6036134.8
Blue257
2854117.6
199136.9
5507143.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371293100200400500600392257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
187.83.8
173.7177.5
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
red by 44.5
5507
#13
143.34.4
133.7138.1
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
Second
5940
#18
135.14.0
126.5130.5
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
blue by 1.8
199
#12
136.92.9
130.3133.1
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
Third
6036
#17
134.80.9
128.7129.6
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
red by 17.2
2854
#34
117.61.8
114.7116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop96.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed