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Red411
973186.6
254244.8
2367118.0
Blue329
846171.2
971199.5
4159136.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405339200300500600700411329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
244.80.7
243.4244.1
Auto28.4
Teleop167.9
End52.0
red by 45.3
971
#2
199.50.4
198.6199.0
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
Second
973
#20
186.60.1
186.8186.7
Auto27.9
Teleop130.0
End27.7
red by 15.4
846
#9
171.20.4
170.5170.9
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
Third
2367
#43
118.00.3
117.5117.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
blue by 18.8
4159
#25
136.90.3
136.2136.5
Auto17.8
Teleop108.3
End13.5