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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red399
8161.6
6418162.7
2135141.0
Blue202
3482138.5
4990145.0
6883128.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401292100200500600399202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#3
162.70.5
161.4→161.9
Auto21.1
Teleop120.3
End20.3
red by 17.7
4990
#6
145.00.3
144.7→145.0
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
Second
8
#17
161.60.2
160.9→161.2
Auto23.4
Teleop126.7
End12.3
red by 23.1
3482
#29
138.50.3
138.2→138.5
Auto18.5
Teleop109.4
End10.2
Third
2135
#13
141.00.2
140.4→140.6
Auto20.4
Teleop98.3
End21.9
red by 12.9
6883
#23
128.10.7
127.5→128.1
Auto13.8
Teleop93.3
End23.2