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Red291
1072154.8
383155.5
192153.6
Blue261
604172.5
5499160.6
1868139.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325344200250300400450500550291261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#4
155.50.3
154.8155.2
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
blue by 16.9
604
#15
172.50.6
170.7171.3
Auto17.4
Teleop138.9
End17.0
Second
1072
#18
154.80.4
154.1154.5
Auto22.7
Teleop121.3
End11.5
blue by 5.7
160.60.3
159.7160.0
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
Third
192
#35
153.60.1
153.8153.7
Auto22.6
Teleop117.3
End12.9
red by 14.6
1868
#33
139.00.4
137.9138.3
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End9.3