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Red414
846171.2
971199.5
4159136.9
Blue160
8161.6
6418162.7
2135141.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397302100200500600700414160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
199.50.4
198.2198.6
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
red by 36.7
162.70.4
162.3162.7
Auto21.1
Teleop120.3
End20.3
Second
846
#9
171.20.4
170.2170.5
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
red by 9.6
8
#17
161.60.2
161.4161.6
Auto23.4
Teleop126.7
End12.3
Third
4159
#25
136.90.3
135.8136.2
Auto17.8
Teleop108.3
End13.5
blue by 4.2
2135
#13
141.00.2
140.8141.0
Auto20.4
Teleop98.3
End21.9