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Qual 12018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red109
1351121.4
973186.6
253101.4
Blue399
846171.2
5499160.6
4669121.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321300150200250350400450500109399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#20
186.62.8
187.8→190.5
Auto27.9
Teleop130.0
End27.7
red by 15.4
846
#9
171.21.9
160.0→161.9
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
Second
1351
#48
121.40.5
121.5→122.0
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End7.8
blue by 39.2
5499
#5
160.61.6
146.3→147.9
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
Third
253
#46
101.40.2
100.3→100.5
Auto14.7
Teleop77.1
End10.5
blue by 19.8
4669
#14
121.30.5
111.4→110.9
Auto17.1
Teleop90.8
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed