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Red423
6410107.4
383155.5
4990145.0
Blue331
4159136.9
6665113.4
2489129.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300281100150200250350400450500423331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#4
155.50.1
144.5144.6
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
red by 18.7
4159
#25
136.90.3
131.2130.9
Auto17.8
Teleop108.3
End13.5
Second
145.015.5
79.494.8
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
red by 15.2
2489
#40
129.80.8
127.3128.2
Auto15.1
Teleop96.6
End19.8
Third
6410
#42
107.418.4
53.672.0
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End7.6
blue by 6.1
6665
#53
113.41.1
113.8114.9
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed