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Qual 102018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red124
2813115.7
1967116.0
4186116.5
Blue331
6418162.7
668893.6
256101.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593190100200400500600700800124331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#36
116.51.8
124.4→122.5
Auto15.6
Teleop87.4
End13.6
blue by 46.3
6418
#3
162.72.0
146.0→148.0
Auto21.1
Teleop120.3
End20.3
Second
1967
#32
116.015.5
79.0→94.5
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End14.3
red by 14.6
256
#57
101.316.8
67.3→84.1
Auto15.4
Teleop77.9
End9.5
Third
2813
#50
115.716.8
67.2→84.0
Auto17.3
Teleop83.0
End18.1
red by 22.1
6688
#60DQ
93.617.3
63.4→80.6
Auto13.5
Teleop73.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed