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Qual 112018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red439
971199.5
4171125.0
4990145.0
Blue191
6619118.7
4669121.3
6410107.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072210100300500600700439191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
199.51.7
180.8→182.5
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
red by 78.2
4669
#14
121.30.4
110.9→111.3
Auto17.1
Teleop90.8
End18.1
Second
4990
#6
145.014.9
94.8→109.7
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
red by 26.3
6619
#52
118.71.1
113.1→114.1
Auto15.9
Teleop90.6
End12.6
Third
4171
#41
125.03.1
117.6→120.6
Auto16.4
Teleop96.1
End13.1
red by 17.6
6410
#42
107.416.7
72.0→88.8
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed