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Qual 252018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red304
6039106.1
846171.2
170099.6
Blue154
1868139.0
688499.9
256101.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29328105001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500304154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
171.20.7
164.1→164.8
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
red by 32.2
1868
#33
139.01.4
135.9→137.3
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End9.3
Second
6039
#44
106.11.8
113.9→112.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End5.4
red by 4.7
256
#57
101.37.8
94.5→102.3
Auto15.4
Teleop77.9
End9.5
Third
1700
#37
99.60.8
100.9→101.7
Auto15.4
Teleop76.0
End6.5
blue by 0.3
6884
#58
99.98.5
89.8→98.3
Auto16.6
Teleop74.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed