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Qual 262018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red301
6883128.1
2367118.0
5499160.6
Blue252
5171134.6
2813115.7
7308109.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582230100300400500301252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#5
160.62.1
149.9→152.0
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
red by 26.0
5171
#49
134.68.5
95.7→104.2
Auto19.6
Teleop99.0
End22.4
Second
6883
#23
128.111.0
89.1→100.1
Auto13.8
Teleop93.3
End23.2
red by 12.4
2813
#50
115.78.6
93.6→102.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.0
End18.1
Third
2367
#43
118.01.3
116.9→118.2
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
red by 8.2
7308
#56
109.91.7
103.9→105.7
Auto14.1
Teleop86.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed