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Qual 272018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red256
502794.5
383155.5
2144166.0
Blue325
6814100.4
971199.5
668150.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31334002004006008001,0001,200256325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#16
166.02.6
159.4→162.0
Auto21.5
Teleop120.2
End22.9
blue by 33.4
971
#2
199.51.6
182.5→184.0
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
Second
383
#4
155.51.8
147.9→149.7
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
red by 5.2
668
#11
150.41.8
133.6→135.4
Auto24.4
Teleop115.3
End11.3
Third
5027
#54
94.59.0
81.6→90.6
Auto14.1
Teleop75.4
End5.9
blue by 5.9
6814
#59
100.40.1
105.0→104.9
Auto16.1
Teleop77.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed