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Red456
670169.3
6619118.7
1967116.0
Blue304
192153.6
6665113.4
973186.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693870100200300500600456304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#7
169.31.3
156.9158.2
Auto23.2
Teleop125.2
End22.3
blue by 17.4
973
#20
186.61.0
190.6191.7
Auto27.9
Teleop130.0
End27.7
Second
6619
#52
118.70.0
114.1114.2
Auto15.9
Teleop90.6
End12.6
blue by 34.9
192
#35
153.60.6
154.3154.9
Auto22.6
Teleop117.3
End12.9
Third
1967
#32
116.05.2
103.2108.4
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End14.3
red by 2.5
6665
#53
113.41.1
115.4116.5
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed