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Qual 352018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red202
5171134.6
6303106.3
502794.5
Blue395
841109.7
4990145.0
6036141.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343480100200300400500600202395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#49
134.64.9
104.2→109.1
Auto19.6
Teleop99.0
End22.4
blue by 10.5
4990
#6
145.08.4
120.5→128.9
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
Second
6303
#47
106.30.8
105.3→106.1
Auto16.4
Teleop83.6
End9.3
blue by 35.4
6036
#24
141.71.3
137.9→139.2
Auto18.9
Teleop107.5
End16.5
Third
5027
#54
94.53.2
90.6→93.8
Auto14.1
Teleop75.4
End5.9
blue by 15.3
841
#55
109.70.5
111.5→112.1
Auto16.0
Teleop88.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed