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Qual 362018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red300
581128.6
1351121.4
2813115.7
Blue400
383155.5
4255125.5
8161.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242353100200300400500600300400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#51
128.61.4
126.3→127.7
Auto16.8
Teleop97.1
End16.5
blue by 33.1
8
#17
161.61.6
154.4→155.9
Auto23.4
Teleop126.7
End12.3
Second
1351
#48
121.40.3
119.5→119.7
Auto17.5
Teleop96.5
End7.8
blue by 34.2
383
#4
155.50.1
149.7→149.6
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
Third
2813
#50
115.74.9
102.2→107.1
Auto17.3
Teleop83.0
End18.1
blue by 9.8
4255
#28
125.51.0
115.3→116.3
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed