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Red130
5737109.7
688499.9
4091130.1
Blue425
254244.8
2035121.4
4171125.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1984320100300400500600130425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4091
#12
130.11.6
122.0123.5
Auto17.1
Teleop94.1
End23.2
blue by 114.6
254
#1
244.82.9
222.9225.8
Auto28.4
Teleop167.9
End52.0
Second
5737
#21
109.76.0
96.0102.0
Auto18.3
Teleop77.6
End14.2
blue by 15.3
4171
#41
125.00.1
123.2123.1
Auto16.4
Teleop96.1
End13.1
Third
6884
#58
99.93.1
98.3101.4
Auto16.6
Teleop74.9
End7.6
blue by 21.5
2035
#19
121.40.6
122.5121.9
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed47%Face the Boss oddsEarned