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Red264
2135141.0
6036141.7
4904149.1
Blue388
5499160.6
383155.5
670169.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285410100200500600700264388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.11.4
145.9147.3
Auto18.7
Teleop114.4
End14.5
blue by 20.2
670
#7
169.31.4
165.6167.0
Auto23.2
Teleop125.2
End22.3
Second
6036
#24
141.71.0
140.1141.0
Auto18.9
Teleop107.5
End16.5
blue by 18.9
160.61.3
157.0158.3
Auto22.3
Teleop120.7
End16.8
Third
2135
#13
141.00.4
139.6140.0
Auto20.4
Teleop98.3
End21.9
blue by 14.5
383
#4
155.50.6
153.4154.0
Auto20.6
Teleop118.3
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed