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Red251
170099.6
973186.6
7317118.7
Blue329
4990145.0
192153.6
5924132.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319338250300350400450251329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#20
186.60.6
189.6189.0
Auto27.9
Teleop130.0
End27.7
red by 33.0
192
#35
153.60.5
154.8154.3
Auto22.6
Teleop117.3
End12.9
Second
7317
#38
118.70.4
118.8119.2
Auto16.3
Teleop94.0
End6.9
blue by 26.3
145.02.5
140.1142.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End19.0
Third
1700
#37
99.60.8
101.8101.0
Auto15.4
Teleop76.0
End6.5
blue by 32.6
5924
#10
132.21.5
128.2129.7
Auto16.9
Teleop101.4
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed