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Qual 862018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red356
846171.2
4091130.1
7245111.3
Blue295
971199.5
6410107.4
7317118.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292349100200400500600356295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#9
171.20.6
168.3→168.9
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End12.4
blue by 28.2
971
#2
199.52.3
194.3→196.7
Auto25.1
Teleop142.6
End33.4
Second
4091
#12
130.11.9
128.3→130.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.1
End23.2
red by 11.4
7317
#38
118.70.5
119.2→118.7
Auto16.3
Teleop94.0
End6.9
Third
7245
#34
111.30.8
110.5→111.3
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End13.5
red by 3.9
6410
#42
107.41.7
105.7→107.4
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed