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Qual 872018 Silicon Valley Regional
Red362
2489129.8
4904149.1
6619118.7
Blue297
2367118.0
2473121.4
1967116.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482570100200300400500362297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#8
149.11.0
147.3→148.4
Auto18.7
Teleop114.4
End14.5
red by 27.7
2473
#45
121.40.3
121.7→121.4
Auto15.9
Teleop92.2
End16.4
Second
2489
#40
129.80.7
129.1→129.8
Auto15.1
Teleop96.6
End19.8
red by 11.8
2367
#43
118.00.2
116.0→116.2
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End11.4
Third
6619
#52
118.70.4
118.4→118.7
Auto15.9
Teleop90.6
End12.6
red by 2.8
1967
#32
116.01.1
114.9→116.0
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed